Bitcoin volatility remains subdued as supply in profit nears historical bear-to-bull transition level: analysts

Recent analysis from Bitfinex reveals that more than 71% of the total bitcoin supply is currently in profit. This statistic is significant as it approaches a historical threshold that has often indicated a transition from bear market conditions to bullish momentum. Analysts are closely monitoring this development, as it could signal a potential shift in market sentiment.
Historically, the cryptocurrency market has exhibited cycles of volatility, often oscillating between periods of growth and decay. The 71% profit level for bitcoin supply has previously acted as a marker for shifts in market phases. When a substantial portion of holders are in profit, it often indicates increased confidence among investors, which can lead to upward price movements. Conversely, when the majority of supply is in loss, it tends to trigger selling pressure and heightened volatility.
This situation matters for the market as it suggests a growing optimism among bitcoin holders. The current state of the bitcoin supply, with a significant percentage in profit, may encourage more investors to enter the market, fueling further price appreciation. Additionally, this could lead to a decrease in selling pressure, as many holders may be less inclined to sell their assets when they are in profit.
Industry experts have started to weigh in on this development, with many expressing cautious optimism. Some analysts believe that the nearing historical level of profitable supply could serve as a catalyst for a new bull run, while others warn of the unpredictable nature of the crypto market. The consensus appears to be that while the current trend is positive, external factors such as regulatory changes or macroeconomic conditions could still impact market dynamics.
Looking ahead, market participants will be keeping a close eye on how the situation unfolds. If the percentage of bitcoin supply in profit continues to rise, it may signal stronger bullish momentum. Conversely, if the market begins to see a shift in profit-taking behavior or external disruptions, it could lead to renewed volatility. The next few weeks and months will be critical as investors navigate this potentially pivotal moment in the bitcoin market.
CoinMagnetic Team
Crypto investors since 2017. We trade with our own money and test every exchange ourselves.
Updated: September 2026
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